Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/82648 
Year of Publication: 
2013
Series/Report no.: 
Economics Discussion Papers No. 2013-49
Publisher: 
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), Kiel
Abstract: 
The celebrated Taylor rule provides a simple formula that aims to capture how the central bank interest rate is adjusted as a linear function of inflation and output gap. However, the rule does not take explicitly into account the zero lower bound on the interest rate. Prior studies on interest rate selection subject to the zero lower bound have not produced rigorous derivations of explicit rules. In this work, Taylor-like rules for central bank interest rates bounded below by zero are derived rigorously using a multi-parametric model predictive control (mpMPC) framework. Rules with or without inertia are included in the derivation. The proposed approach is illustrated through simulations on US economy data. A number of issues for future study are proposed.
Subjects: 
Taylor rule
zero lower bound
liquidity trap
model predictive control
multiparametric programming
JEL: 
E52
C61
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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