Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/185240 
Year of Publication: 
2018
Series/Report no.: 
IZA Discussion Papers No. 11780
Publisher: 
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), Bonn
Abstract: 
Consider the duration of stay of migrants in a host country. We propose a statistical model of locally interdependent return hazards in order to examine whether interactions at the level of the neighbourhood are present and lead to social multipliers. To estimate this model we develop and study two complementary estimation strategies, demonstrate their good performance while standard non-spatial estimators are shown to be heavily biased. Using a unique large administrative panel dataset for the population of recent labour immigrants to the Netherlands, we quantify the local social multipliers in several factual and counterfactual experiments, and demonstrate that these are substantial.
Subjects: 
social multipliers
local interaction
interdependent hazards
return migration
JEL: 
C41
C10
C31
J61
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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