Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/234663 
Year of Publication: 
2020
Series/Report no.: 
IDB Working Paper Series No. IDB-WP-01055
Publisher: 
Inter-American Development Bank (IDB), Washington, DC
Abstract: 
This paper provides long- and short-run tax buoyancy estimates for a group of 12 Caribbean countries over the period 1991-2017. Using panel regressions , the study found that the long- and short-run tax buoyancy estimates are statistically greater than one. However, the results vary by tax categories: with respect to indirect taxes, which accounts for almost 65 percent of total tax revenues, the buoyancy of the long-run coefficient is significantly less than 1 (0.35), while for direct taxes it is significantly greater than 1 (1.33). It also found that long-run tax buoyancy was lower in the post global financial crisis period. With respect to short-run buoyancy, corporate taxes and trade taxes are the most buoyant , while property taxes were found to be statistically insignificant. For taxes on goods on services, the single most important tax for most countries, both long- and short-run buoyancy is not significantly different from 1 .
Subjects: 
error correction model
fiscal sustainability
panel cointegration
pooled mean group
tax buoyancy
JEL: 
E62
H21
H29
H68
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by-nc-nd Logo
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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