Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/237904 
Year of Publication: 
2020
Series/Report no.: 
IMK Working Paper No. 206
Publisher: 
Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung (IMK), Düsseldorf
Abstract: 
I estimate fiscal reaction functions to analyze the cyclical behavior of discretionary measures in the euro area and the potential impact of changes in the fiscal framework. The core is to analyze whether fiscal rules have an asymmetric impact on discretionary measures over the cycle. First, results confirm the general perception that overall discretionary fiscal policy in the EMU is marginally procyclical. Procyclicality is, however, characterized by strong fiscal tightening in contractions while reactions in upturns are neutral. Second, fiscal rules marginally increase countercyclical policy responses in upturns, but strongly reinforce destabilizing procyclical polices in downturns. Interestingly, expenditure rules perform comparably better with regard to the stabilization objective than budget or debt rules.
Subjects: 
Fiscal rules
fiscal reaction function
fiscal cyclicality
debt sustainability
EMU
JEL: 
E6
H11
H6
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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