Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/240693 
Year of Publication: 
2020
Series/Report no.: 
Working Papers No. 2020-04
Publisher: 
Banco de México, Ciudad de México
Abstract: 
Based on the methodology proposed by Frey and Osborne (2017), we use their estimates for the probability of automation of occupations together with household survey data on the occupational distribution of employment to provide a risk assessment for the threat that automation may pose to the Mexican labor market. We find that almost two thirds of total employment is at high risk of automation; slightly more than half if we only consider employment in the formal sector. We argue that, while these estimates provide a useful benchmark to start thinking about the impact that automation may have on the labor market, they should be interpreted with care as they are solely based on the technical feasibility to automate and do not reflect the economic incentives, or other factors such as the accumulation of human capital through education, to adopt automation technologies.
Subjects: 
Automation
Human capital and occupational choice
Labor demand
Organization of production
Robots
Technological change
JEL: 
E24
E26
F16
J21
J23
J24
J62
L23
L86
O33
O38
N16
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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