Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/244192 
Year of Publication: 
2021
Series/Report no.: 
AGDI Working Paper No. WP/21/017
Publisher: 
African Governance and Development Institute (AGDI), Yaoundé
Abstract: 
The main contribution of this study is the determination of an endogenous threshold of institutional quality, beyond which external debt would affect economic growth differently. The focus is on 14 countries of the African Franc zone over the period 1985-2015. Based on the panel Smooth Threshold Regression model, the results reveal that the relationship between external debt and economic growth is based on institutional quality. It is found that the level of indebtedness at which the effect of external debt on economic growth becomes negative is higher in countries with lower levels of corruption and high levels of democracy. This means that poor institutional quality prevents a country from taking full advantage of its credit opportunities. Thus, the more countries become democratic, the more debt helps finance economic growth. These results are robust to sensitivity analysis and Generalized Method of Moments estimation.
Subjects: 
external debt
political institutions
economic growth
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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