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Erscheinungsjahr: 
2021
Quellenangabe: 
[Journal:] Journal of African Trade [ISSN:] 2214-8523 [Volume:] 8 [Issue:] 2 [Publisher:] Atlantis Press [Place:] Paris [Year:] 2021 [Pages:] 62-76
Verlag: 
Atlantis Press, Paris
Zusammenfassung: 
This paper draws on a general equilibrium poisson pseudo maximum likelihood model augmented by a dynamic capital accumulation to estimate the effects of the African Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA) on intra-African trade flows. The empirical results show that the AfCFTA could raise intra-African trade by 24% in the short term and slightly more in the long run. However, the potential trade and welfare gains associated with the continental trade integration reform are expected to vary across countries, with the largest gains accruing to countries that exhibit relatively low intra-regional trade performance and level of integration pre-AfCFTA.
Schlagwörter: 
AfCFTA
GEPPML
International trade agreements
CGE
MRT
RTA
JEL: 
F13
F14
F16
F17
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