Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/271931 
Year of Publication: 
2023
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 10287
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
This paper provides estimates of persistence in historical UK data on life expectancy applying fractional integration methods to both an annual series from 1842 to 2019 and a 5-year average from 1543 to 2019. The results indicate that the former exhibits an upward trend and is persistent but mean reverting; the same holds for the latter, though its degree of persistence is higher. Similar results are obtained for the logged values. On the whole, this evidence suggests that the effects of shocks to the series are transitory though persistent, which is useful information for policy makers whose task is to take appropriate measures to increase life expectancy.
Subjects: 
life expectancy
long memory
fractional integration
JEL: 
C22
C40
D60
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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