Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/282390 
Year of Publication: 
2023
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 10702
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
Criminal activity is seasonal, peaking in the summer and declining through the winter. We provide the first evidence that arrests of children and reported crimes involving children follow a different pattern: peaking during the school year and declining in the summer. We use a regression discontinuity design surrounding the exact start and end dates of the school year to show that this pattern is caused by school: children aged 10–17 are roughly 50% more likely to be involved in a reported crime during the beginning of the school year relative to the weeks before school begins. This sharp increase is driven by student-on-student crimes occurring in school and during school hours. We use the timing of these patterns and a seasonal adjustment to argue that school increases reported crime rates (and arrests) involving 10–17-year-old offenders by 47% (41%) annually relative to a counterfactual where crime rates follow typical seasonal patterns. School exacerbates preexisting sex-based and race-based inequality in reported crime and arrest rates, increasing both the Black-white and male-female gap in reported juvenile crime and arrest rates by more than 40%.
Subjects: 
school
crime
academic calendar
regression discontinuity design
JEL: 
I20
K40
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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