Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/216557 
Year of Publication: 
2020
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 8161
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
How would climate change affect India's agriculture which accounts for sixty percent of employment? We study the impact of climate change on the level and variability of yields of rice (India's major food crop) and two key millet crops (sorghum and pearl millet), using an all India district level panel dataset from 1966-2011. A stochastic production function is estimated with exogenous climate anomalies. We find that climate change adversely affects both the level and variability of crop yields - rice yields are reduced by rainfall extremes whereas extremely high temperatures make yields of all three crops highly variable with the biggest impact on millets.
Subjects: 
agriculture
climate change
foodgrain yields
India
millets
rice
stochastic production function
JEL: 
Q54
O13
D24
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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