Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/231518 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2021
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
IWH Discussion Papers No. 2/2021
Verlag: 
Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), Halle (Saale)
Zusammenfassung: 
We study the dynamic impact of Covid-19, economic mobility, and containment policy shocks. We use Bayesian panel structural vector autoregressions with daily data for 44 countries, identified through sign and zero restrictions. Incidence and mobility shocks raise cases and deaths significantly for two months. Restrictive policy shocks lower mobility immediately, cases after one week, and deaths after three weeks. Non-pharmaceutical interventions explain half of the variation in mobility, cases, and deaths worldwide. These flattened the pandemic curve, while deepening the global mobility recession. The policy tradeoff is 1 p.p. less mobility per day for 9% fewer deaths after two months.
Schlagwörter: 
Bayesian analysis
coronavirus
epidemics
general equilibrium
non-pharmaceutical interventions
panel data
structural vector autoregressions
JEL: 
C32
E32
I18
Persistent Identifier der Erstveröffentlichung: 
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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