Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/266290 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2021
Quellenangabe: 
[Journal:] Statistics in Transition New Series [ISSN:] 2450-0291 [Volume:] 22 [Issue:] 4 [Publisher:] Exeley [Place:] New York [Year:] 2021 [Pages:] 213-225
Verlag: 
Exeley, New York
Zusammenfassung: 
Quarterly employment rates in European countries are analysed in terms of the likelihood of achieving a specific employment rate within age and gender groups in a five-year horizon. The German employment rate serves as a benchmark for this research. The likelihood is estimated by a Monte-Carlo simulation based on the class of exponential smoothing models. The research presents a pessimistic prognosis of employment rates in European countries with respect to young and partly to older workers.
Schlagwörter: 
employment rate
exponential smoothing
forecasting
state space approach
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