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https://hdl.handle.net/10419/27363
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DC Field | Value | Language |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.author | Siliverstovs, Boriss | en |
dc.contributor.author | Ötsch, Rainald | en |
dc.contributor.author | Kemfert, Claudia | en |
dc.contributor.author | Jaeger, Carlo | en |
dc.contributor.author | Haas, Armin | en |
dc.contributor.author | Kremers, Hans | en |
dc.date.accessioned | 2008-12-16 | - |
dc.date.accessioned | 2009-08-06T13:20:39Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2009-08-06T13:20:39Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2008 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10419/27363 | - |
dc.description.abstract | This study models maximum temperatures in Switzerland monitored in twelve locations using the Generalised Extreme Value (GEV) distribution. The parameters of the GEV distribution are determined within a Bayesian framework. We find that the parameters of the underlying distribution underwent a substantial change in the beginning of the 1980s. This change is characterised by an increase both in the level and the variability. We assess the likelihood of a heat wave of the Summer of 2003 using the fitted GEV distribution by accounting for the presence of a structural break. The estimation results do suggest that the heat wave of 2003 appears not that statistically improbable event as it is generally accepted in the relevant literature. | en |
dc.language.iso | eng | en |
dc.publisher | |aDeutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW) |cBerlin | en |
dc.relation.ispartofseries | |aDIW Discussion Papers |x840 | en |
dc.subject.jel | Q54 | en |
dc.subject.jel | C11 | en |
dc.subject.ddc | 330 | en |
dc.subject.keyword | Climate change | en |
dc.subject.keyword | GEV | en |
dc.subject.keyword | Bayesian modelling | en |
dc.subject.keyword | Great Alpine Heat Wave | en |
dc.subject.stw | Klimaveränderung | en |
dc.subject.stw | Statistische Verteilung | en |
dc.subject.stw | Extremwertanalyse | en |
dc.subject.stw | Schweiz | en |
dc.title | Climate change and modelling of extreme temperatures in Switzerland | - |
dc.type | |aWorking Paper | en |
dc.identifier.ppn | 588034533 | en |
dc.rights | http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen | en |
dc.identifier.repec | RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp840 | en |
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