Abstract:
This brief assesses the state of the Ukrainian economy two years since Russia's full-scale invasion. After a devastating 2022, Ukraine's economy in 2023 proved surprisingly resilient, thanks in part to its foreign partners. Decelerating inflation and a managed exchange rate provided macroeconomic stability, while re-secured shipping routes in the Black Sea improved Ukraine's export performance. Despite these achievements, the problems of 2022 began to re-emerge in 2024 in Ukraine's fight for survival. Besides the drying up of foreign funding and armaments supplies and the widening mismatch in labor force allocation, Ukraine requires more long-term, non-repayable assistance, greater support for returning Ukrainians, and reduced state pressure on private businesses.