Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/295593 
Authors: 
Year of Publication: 
2019
Series/Report no.: 
CReAM Discussion Paper Series No. 02/19
Publisher: 
Centre for Research & Analysis of Migration (CReAM), Department of Economics, University College London, London
Abstract: 
This study estimates the fiscal consequences of receiving refugees, over the refugees' lifetime. It uses data from Sweden in 2015, and the calculations account for refugees' age, years since immigration, and country of origin. The estimated average annual fiscal net contribution over the lifetime of the average refugee (58 years) ranges from -12 per cent of GDP per capita for refugees from the countries of origin for which labor market performance has historically been the strongest, to -22 per cent for those for which it has been the weakest. The estimates imply that if the European Union received all refugees currently in Asia and Africa, the implied average annual fiscal cost over the same time span would be at most 0.6 per cent of GDP.
Subjects: 
refugees
immigration
public finances
JEL: 
F22
H20
H50
J61
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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