Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/300007 
Year of Publication: 
2024
Series/Report no.: 
ZEW Discussion Papers No. 24-028
Publisher: 
ZEW - Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung, Mannheim
Abstract: 
Based on data from broadly representative surveys among more than 1,400 citizens in Germany and Sweden, this paper empirically examines the support of different groups of climate-related (passenger) transport policy measures targeting vehicle use, public transport, air travel, and bicycle use. Our descriptive analysis reveals that pull policy measures (e.g. the financial support of public transport) are more strongly supported in both countries than push policy measures (e.g. the increase in taxes on flight tickets). Furthermore, bans (i.e. a sales ban on new gasoline- and diesel-powered vehicles and a ban on domestic flights) do not receive much support. Our econometric analysis with multivariate ordered and binary probit models points to the strong relevance of economic self-interest for the support of vehicle-, air travel-, and bicycle-related policy measures, i.e. citizens who are negatively affected by a certain measure are significantly more likely to disagree with it, while citizens who benefit from a certain measure are significantly more likely to support it. For example, owners of vehicles that run exclusively on conventional fuels are significantly less likely to agree with the introduction of road user charges on highways and especially the sales ban on new gasoline- and diesel-powered vehicles. Our econometric analysis also shows that environmental awareness and political identification play an important role for the agreement with most of the policy measures considered. Finally, we discuss our empirical results in the context of current policy debates in Germany and Sweden and some implications for policymakers.
Subjects: 
Climate change
transport policy measures
individual support
multivariate probit models
simulated maximum likelihood estimation
JEL: 
Q54
R48
L98
Q48
Q58
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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