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Autor:innen: 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2024
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
Working Paper No. 2024-4
Verlag: 
University of Massachusetts, Department of Economics, Amherst, MA
Zusammenfassung: 
An important body of literature explores the political economy reasons underlying delays in macroeconomic stabilization. This paper develops a framework to analyze conflict between two groups of economic actors, one that has an endowment of internationally tradable goods and another that is endowed with non-tradable goods. The focus is on the exchange rate policy in a developing country set-up where the government employs seigniorage revenue to finance spending pre-stabilization, and faces fiscal and balance of payments problems that necessitate stabilization with a step devaluation. The presence of exchange rate and endowment uncertainty, the role of forward-looking expectations, and the possibility of IMF aid influence the likelihood, timing, and terms of a national consensus on stabilization in interesting ways.
Schlagwörter: 
Macroeconomic stabilization
seigniorage
inflation
devaluation
capital flight
IMF programs
JEL: 
E31
F34
F41
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