Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/301351 
Autor:innen: 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2024
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
GLO Discussion Paper No. 1477
Verlag: 
Global Labor Organization (GLO), Essen
Zusammenfassung: 
Many developing countries depend crucially on open-access renewable natural resources (NR). Trade is generally viewed as hurting the long-term health of NR in commodity-exporting countries. I examine whether trade might be beneficial in the case of population growth. Dynamic general equilibrium NR models have typically assumed constant return to scale in the manufacturing sector. I examine trade's impact under constant, decreasing and increasing returns. While population growth always results in NR and welfare collapse under autarky, the impact under trade depends critically on the manufacturing sector's returns-to-scale technology. Under trade, NR and welfare are unaffected by population growth under constant returns, collapse under decreasing returns, and increase under increasing returns. Empirical studies have typically found constant or increasing returns. Thus, countries experiencing rapid population growth may obtain long-term benefits from opening up to trade, though they experience short-term NR costs.
Schlagwörter: 
Population growth
Renewable natural resources (NR)
Trade vs autarky
NR and welfare or societal collapse
JEL: 
D62
F18
Q22
Q27
Q56
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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