Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/302204 
Year of Publication: 
2024
Series/Report no.: 
Working Papers No. 24-7
Publisher: 
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, Boston, MA
Abstract: 
Using confidential microdata, we show that shocks to primary dealers' risk-bearing constraints have significant effects on the US Treasury securities market. In response to tighter constraints, dealers reduce their Treasury positions, triggering a reduction in aggregate turnover and an increase in bid-ask spreads. These effects are more pronounced in securities that contribute more to the utilization of risk constraints. The impaired intermediation also affects Treasury yields, amplifying the yield response to net demand shifts. Moreover, tighter dealer constraints weaken Treasury auction outcomes: Bid-to-cover ratios decline, driven by dealers' less aggressive bidding, and the highest yield accepted by participants rises, thereby increasing the government's cost of issuing debt. Using our estimates, we back out key elasticities to show that the shadow cost of dealer constraints is as high as one-third of dealers' intermediation margin.
Subjects: 
Treasury market
primary dealers
intermediation
risk constraints
JEL: 
G10
G12
G18
G21
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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