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Erscheinungsjahr: 
2024
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
LEM Working Paper Series No. 2024/24
Verlag: 
Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Pisa
Zusammenfassung: 
We extend the multi-country, multi-sector agent-based model in Dosi et al. (2019, 2021) by incorporating an exchange rate market where heterogeneous chartist and fundamentalist financial traders exchange foreign currencies. This introduces complex interactions between the real and financial side of the economies that reverberate on the dynamics of the exchange rate, which acts both as a transmission channel of endogenous fluctuation and as a source of shocks. Simulation results show that model is able to account for a rich ensemble of stylized facts (e.g., fat tails, volatility clustering, fluctuations and contagion among others) concerning the exchange market and its interactions with the real economy dynamics at different level of aggregation. Moreover, our findings reveal that speculative behavior in the exchange rate market substantially increases financial turbulence and contributes to real economic fluctuations. On the policy side, we highlight the power and limitations of central bank interventions in the exchange rate market.
Schlagwörter: 
agent-based model
exchange rate dynamics
financial crises
endogenous business cycles
heterogeneous traders
central bank interventions
JEL: 
E3
F41
O4
O41
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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