Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/266290 
Year of Publication: 
2021
Citation: 
[Journal:] Statistics in Transition New Series [ISSN:] 2450-0291 [Volume:] 22 [Issue:] 4 [Publisher:] Exeley [Place:] New York [Year:] 2021 [Pages:] 213-225
Publisher: 
Exeley, New York
Abstract: 
Quarterly employment rates in European countries are analysed in terms of the likelihood of achieving a specific employment rate within age and gender groups in a five-year horizon. The German employment rate serves as a benchmark for this research. The likelihood is estimated by a Monte-Carlo simulation based on the class of exponential smoothing models. The research presents a pessimistic prognosis of employment rates in European countries with respect to young and partly to older workers.
Subjects: 
employment rate
exponential smoothing
forecasting
state space approach
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by-nc-nd Logo
Document Type: 
Article

Files in This Item:
File
Size





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.